Methodology
The GCRI uses a linear regression model including historical data to train the model. Its creators at the EC JRC first determined the predictive value of the 24 variables regarding conflict onsets in the past 20 years. They then applied the results to the final model and derived the weights for the indicators from their significance regarding the model performance. Countries were scored on a 10-point scale for each of the 24 indicators.
Data description
The Global Conflict Risk Index is an index of the statistical risk of violent conflict in the next 1-4 years for each country in the world.
Indicator
Potentially disappeared fractions of species (PDF) - Terrestrial ecotoxicity
Method / tool
IMPACT World+